Market Commentaries



Eur/GBP

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Feedback on Commentaries and Analysis is welcome
Sheil Aggarwal


select * from bbg_commentary where 1=1 order by date desc
  • 2 November 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $155m of liquidity today across the capital structure, US LSTA 100 Index +11bp dod and we saw spread compression mainly at BBB.  AAA Index now 171dm, with trading range 158dm-193dm and benchmarks 163dm-187dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    AAs trade 209dm-285dm with benchmarks 225dm-234dm with our AA Index 235dm with post reinvestment bonds straddling either side of the index depending upon specific profile.  Single-As trade 288dm-321dm with our Single-A Index 279dm with all trades post reinvestment.  Similar theme for BBB with trading range 375dm-377dm with bonds post reinvestment (BBB Index 412dm) and the same on BB with trading range 601dm-675dm vs our BB Index 745dm.

     

    EUR AAA CLO

    Secondary AAA spreads are unchanged at around 183 dm.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    AAs traded around 252 dm. A number of them are from deals in amortisation.

    Single A’s are around 378 dm.

    BBBs are around 484 dm because ACCUN 2X D is amortising and traded at 380 dm.

    BBs traded around 768 dm. All of them have passed their RPE date.

    There is one equity trade. EGLXY 2018-6X SUB traded at 28% yield / 46.86. It has an NAV of 16.50.


  • 1 November 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $68m of liquidity today with US LSTA 100 Index -1 bp dod, AAA Index unchanged 171dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Trades across mezz with notable shifts in BBB and BB, both tighter.  BBB trade 362dm-482dm with our BBB Index now 445dm, BB trade 727dm-822dm with our BB Index shifting to 746dm.


  • 31 October 2023

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    $120m of trading today on month end which is quite rare, with US LSTA 100 Index -3bp dod and lower mezz softer.  With this in mind BBBs trade 380dm-718dm with benchmarks 442dm-467dm and our BBB Index now 452dm, OCP 2020-18A DR covers 95.5 at 459dm / 5.5y WAL - EoRP 2024, MVOC in line 109.1, coupon +320bps and metrics clean is a good proxy with a benchmark manager Onex.  BBs trade 730dm-1049dm with our BB Index shifting wider to 771dm.


  • 30 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $102m of AAAs exchanged hands today with little spread movement, US LSTA 100 Index +2bp dod and AAA Index unchanged on the day with a trading range on benchmarks of 166dm-177dm.


  • 27 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $100m of liquidity today, US LSTA 100 Index -8bp dod with AAA Index 171dm, with benchmark AAAs trading 163dm-176dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    AA soften with a trading range 226dm-239dm with our AA Index now 236dm, RRAM 2021-18A A2 covers 97.83 at 239dm / 6.1y WAL - MVOC 129.2, coupon +160bps and clean metrics from a benchmark name.  BBB trade 372dm-471dm with our BBB Index largely unchanged 428dm.


  • 26 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $91m of liquidity today across the capital structure with a little softening at AAA and BBB with US LSTA -8bp dod.  AAAs trade 168dm-201dm with benchmarks 168dm-172dm (AAA Index 172dm) with high coupon / manager tiering driving 2 bonds wider to the index.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Good flow in BBB with 17 trades / 40m notional in a 374dm-544dm range with benchmarks 414dm-438dm (BBB Index 427dm) – bonds inside the index are MVOC and high quality manager driven whilst those bonds wide of the index are a combination of factors, at the wide end is WOODS 2021-27A D CVR 92.11 at 544dm / 7.1y WAL – MVOC is in line 109.5, coupon only slightly elevated from benchmarks at +350bps, EoRP is 2026, manager profile (Angelo, Gordon & Co) is at the weaker end and a relatively high cov-lite bucket 12.3 as the only other stand out weakness in credit terms.


  • 25 October 2023

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    A trickle of mezz trades today post ABS East, 1 x BBB benchmark trade ARES 2013-2A DR2 CVR 96.23 at 431dm / 6.6y WAL - MVOC in line 109.7, coupon +325bps and clean metrics with Ares a benchmark manager, our BBB Index is unchanged 419dm.  3 x BB trades in a 705dm-916dm range with a range of profiles (post reinvestment, FLAT 2019-1A ER is a benchmark trade cover price 95.84 at 745dm / 5.9y WAL - MVOC is in line with benchmarks 104.9, coupon +610bps and manager is NY Life which is an outperforming manager, our BB Index unchanged at 764dm.

     


  • 19 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $82m of liquidity today with some softening in CLO spreads, US LSTA -3bp dod.  AAA trade 164dm-185dm with our AAA Index now 170dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Both AA ad single-A bonds trade off index given post reinvestment profiles / non-benchmarks.  BBB trade 555dm-594dm with our BBB Index 419dm, ticket sizes are 1.5m-3.3m each with coupon profiles on the high side >350bps so trading levels are wide of the index. 


  • 18 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $65m of liquidity today across AAA and BBB/BB bonds, US LSTA 100 Index flat dod and BB spreads soften.  AAA trade 164dm-234dm with benchmarks 164dm-178dm and our AAA Index 169dm, bonds wide of the index are high coupon >180bps and a bond at the widest end of the range BLACK 2019-2A A1A CVR 98.8 at 234dm / 2.3y WAL – MVOC is healthy 154.1, coupon slightly elevated to benchmarks at +143bps but Black Diamond’s manager record is weaker to peers.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    BB trade 760dm-1571dm with a number of weaker profiles accounting for the wide dispersion, our BB Index shifts to 760dm whilst there is a benchmark trade right on this level today - PLMRS 2021-1A D covers 94.05 at 760dm / 7.2y WAL with MVOC in line 105, coupon +600bps and metrics clean whilst manager is a benchmark name Palmer Square.  The remaining bonds trade wide to the index given MVOC pull towards 100 with associated credit weakeness (ADRs >2%) and MV shortfall for CRMN 2014-1A DR which covers 63.5 at 1571dm / 1.6y WAL – post reinvestment, negative Jnr OC cushion, ADR 1.6% and MVOC 98.8.


  • 17 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $70m of liquidity today, spreads moving sideways and US LSTA +13bp on last CLO trading day.  AAA Index shifts to 168dm with a rare MM CLO trading at 207dm, MCMML 2021-2A A1 covers 98.5 at 207dm / 2y WAL.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    1 x MM CLO AA tardes, BXCMM 2021-1A B CVR 96.5 at 279dm / 5.3y WAL (Blackstone), at single-A the trading range is 380dm-382dm which is wider to the Single-A Index 280dm given the lower MVOC / higher coupon profiles.  BBB trade 455dm-709dm wide of the BBB Index 389dm given the vast majority of trades are high coupon profiles >400bps coupon.  1 x benchmark trades at the BB level in line with our BB Index 744dm, NEUB 2021-44A E covers 93.41 at 741dm / 7.9y WAL – MVOC is in line 105.1 and coupon is in line with peers +600bps and metrics are clean (Neuberger is a benchmark manager).


  • 12 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $61m of bonds traded today with BBB slightly softer on the day and US LSTA 100 Index +8bp dod.  AAA Index unchanged 165dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    BBB trade 393dm-656dm (BBB Index now 388dm) with BABSN 2019-3A DR at the tight end and a benchmark, cover price is 95.56 at 393dm / 5.3y WAL (EoRP 2024) - MVOC in line 109.8, coupon +280bps and only weak metric is ADR which is elevated at 1%.  Away from this, bonds with high coupon (>400bps) drive those wide of the index, whilst atthe wide end is VENTR 2019-37A D CVR 89.4 at 656dm / 5.2y WAL - MVOC is low 106.8, coupon is high +390bps, manager MJX has a weaker profile, Jnr OC cushion is 2% and ADR >2%.


  • 11 October 2023

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    $45M of liquidity today in mezz with spreads stable, US LSTA 100 Index +13bp dod.  AA trade 205dm-240dm (AA Index 218dm) with one benchmark trade MDPK 2019-37A BR CVR 214dm / 3.8y WAL – MVOC 129.7 which is strong and clean metrics from a benchmark manager CSAM.  BB trade 800dm-860dm wide of our BB Index 744dm given weaker MVOC profiles (<105) in 102-103% context.  1 x BBB trade VENTR 2013-14A DR CVR 95.2 at 519dm / 2.9y WAL – MVOC is low 107.2 (benchmark 110), post-reinv and Jnr OC cushion is negative -5.4 and very high ADR 2.9%.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    AAs traded around 246 dm.

    Single A’s are around 329 dm.

    BBBs are around 436 dm.

    One BB trade at 819 dm.


  • 5 October 2023

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Only $23m of activity today with single-A spreads softer and US LSTA 100 Index once again lower on the day -3bp dod.  Single-As trade 262dm-336dm with the majority post reinvestment (Single-A Index 280dm).  BBBs trade wide of the index 523dm-549dm given high coupon / weaker MVOC profiles for the main part, At the tight end is OCTR 2020-8A DR (Five Arrows) which has a good MVOC 110.99 but elevated coupon +375bps and a weaker manager profile so trades wide to the BBB Index 377dm.


  • 4 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    Only $16m of trading today with spreads softer on mezz and US LSTA 100 Index -13bp dod.  AAA Index unchanged 165dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    1 x BBB trade OZLM 2016-15A CR CVR 91.52 at 522dm / 6.1y WAL - MVOC below benchmark at 109.8, weak Jnr OC cushion 1.4, elevated ADR 1.1 and weaker manager profile (Sculptor) as this trades wide to the BBB Index 377dm.  BB trades are distressed with a trading range 1416dm-1608dm given MVOCs are cuspy near 100, Jnr OC cushions are also cuspy near 0 (BB Index 744dm).


  • 3 October 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $78m of liquidity today with CLO spreads softer and US LSTA 100 Index -22bp on last CLO trading day.  We shift our AAA Index wider t 165dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    BBB bonds trade 359dm-507dm with benchmarks 359dm-387dm (BBB Index 373dm) with a cliff edge on bonds with MVOC < 109 trading well into 4-handle dm context, eg. RCTTE 2015-1A DRR CVR 94.5 at 441dm / 7y WAL (MVOC 107.6) despite the benchmark manager theme (Invesco).  BB trade 828dm-1191dm (BB Index 741dm) with all BB trades now single-B rated with cuspy MVOC.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    Single A’s look a little softer – trading today around 407 dm.

    BBBs also softer, at an average spread of 545 dm.


  • 28 September 2023

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Only $39m of liquidity today, CLO spreads unchanged whilst US LSTA 100 Index softens again -11bp dod.  5 x AA trades today in a 202dm-225dm range circled around our AA Index 214dm with very little in terms of benchmark profile given short wal / post reinvestment bonds for the main part.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    AAs have traded around 250 dm, unchanged.

    Looking at single A’s that are not paying down average spreads are around 347 dm today.

    BBBs look softer today. Average traded spreads are 519 dm.

    GRIPK 1X SUB traded at 23.7% yield.


  • 27 September 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $136m of paper exchanged hands today with spreads flat on the day whilst US LSTA 100 Index continues to soften -8bp dod.  AAA Index unchanged 158dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    BBB trade 437dm-548dm wide to the BBB Index 360dm given MVOCs on these bond profiles well below benchmark 110, all <107.5.  BB trade 658dm-777dm with BB Index 727dm, whilst at the tight end of this range driven by strong MVOC profiles (>105 benchmark) and high coupon bonds accounting for the wide end and all high quality bonds that trade either side of the index.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    BECLO 4X B1 (AA) traded at 259 dm. Indigo I priced at 260 over.

    CADOG 6X DR (BBB) traded at 439 dm for a short 4.2yr delevering deal. Indigo I priced at 540 over.

    BBs traded at an average of 795 dm but they are all from delevering deals although a couple of them still have low MVOCs. Indigo I priced at +800.

    BECLO 4X F (B) traded at 1137 dm. Indigo I priced at 1100 dm.

    There are five equity trades. They range in yield from 21.5% to 28.5%. On average the NAVs are around 25 pts below the cover prices.


  • 26 September 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $89m of liquidity today, majority mezz with US LSTA 100 Index -4bp dod.  AAA index unchanged 158dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    At the single-A level there is a rare MM CLO FCO 2018-11X C CVR 97.07 at 359dm / 3.4y WAL – bond is post reinvestment and compares to our BSL Single-A Index 272dm.  BBB trade 397dm-723dm (BBB Index 360dm) with no benchmarks given the profiles that trade today all have very weak MVOCs (<110) and post reinvestment for the large majority, 1 x MM CLO MCMML 2017-1X D CVR 96.79 at 526dm / 4.3y WAL post reinvestment (BBB Index 360dm).  BB trade 715dm-1015dm with benchmarks trading 715dm-745dm (BB Index 726dm) as MVOC drives those bonds wide of the index.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    AA spreads drifting wider slightly. Today’s trades are around 289 dm.

    DUNEP 1X CR (A rated) traded at 336 dm.

    We also see BBs drifting wider. Today’s trades are at 819 dm.

    GLME 5X F, B rated, traded at 1192 dm.


  • 22 September 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    $84m of bonds exchanged hands today, small adjustments in mezz Indices but largely unchanged, US LSTA also starting to plateau +1bp dod.  AAA Index unchanged 158dm.

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    AA trade 196dm-243dm (AA Index 214dm) with one benchmark trade BSP 2019-19A B CVR 99.71 at 215dm / 4.4y WAL - MVOC in line 127.9, coupon +200bps and clean metrics .  Single-As trade 227dm-295dm with the Index unchanged 272dm.  BBB trade 320dm-569dm (BBB Index 356dm) with one benchmark CIFC 2020-3A DR CVR 97.86 at 357dm / 7.4y WAL - MVOC 109.95, coupon +310bps, benchmark manager CIFC with clean metrics.  BB trade 831dm-1090dm with BB Index unchanged 726dm with no benchmark bonds trading today given the low-MVOC profiles that trade.  2 x single-Bs trade 1207dm-1387dm which are wide of our index 1152dm given low MVOC profiles (100-101).


  • 21 September 2023

    USD CLO AAA

    A strong day of liquidity with $203m exchanging hands, with some small shifts in the lower mezz range, US LSTA 100 Index falling for the first time since July -8bp dod.  AAA Index remains 158dm with a large ticket in GOCAP 2015-26A A1R trading just inside our Index given the short wal / post reinvestment profile (EoRP Apr-23). 

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Single-As trade 225dm-349dm (Single-A Index 272dm) with no benchmark comps given post reinvestment bonds / high MVOC vs benchmark profiles.  BBBs trade 330dm-429dm with benchmarks 347dm-375dm (BBB Index 355dm) with strong manager/high MVOC profiles trading inside the index and typically higher coupon bonds or weaker managers wide of the index.  BB trade in a very wide dispersion 584dm-1201dm with one benchmark trade 4.15dm clip of RAD 2019-4A E covers 99.07 at 706dm / 4.7y WAL (BB Index 726dm) – Kayne Anderson is the manager, EoRP April 2024, MVOC in line 105, coupon +675bps and clean credit metrics.


  • 20 September 2023

    USD CLO Mezz/Equity

    Limited flow today with $34m across 14 trades, CLO spreads have only small sideways drift in lower mezz and US LSTA 100 Index +1bp dod.  Most of the flow was in the BB with a trading range 656dm-776dm (BB Index 729dm) with one benchmark trade to note - RAD 2019-4A E CVR 97.33 at 751dm / 4.7y WAL witg MVOC in line 104.96, coupon +675bps and metrics clean with only WARF a touch high 3052 and as such scales a touch back from the index level.

    EUR AAA CLO

    Secondary profiles traded around 169 dm. Aurium XI priced at +170.

    EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO

    In single A’s Aurium XI priced at +300. Discount price secondary profiles traded in line with these levels but ARBR 11X C, a premium priced bond, traded at 407 dm.

    Aurium XI BBBs printed at +475. Secondary, again, was in line with these levels.

    Aurium XI prints tightened new issue BB and single B levels and secondary has been reflecting this for a couple of days.