RMBS
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Champagne on hold
Latest forbearance numbers encourage, but end of July cliff edge looms
Despite the reported recent drop in the number of home loan borrowers in forbearance, Moody’s strikes a cautionary note in its latest report on the RMBS sector, released this week.
“Yes, we’ve observed a flatlining in forbearance numbers lately, but we’re not say ready to say it’s all over and it’s business as usual just yet,” says Karandeep Bains, .......
News 19 June 2020
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CMBS scores in first TALF window
Sector developments and company hires
CMBS scores in first TALF subscription
Market Moves 18 June 2020
Investors requested US$252m in loans under the first TALF 2.0 subscription window. Of this total, US$145m was for CMBS purchases, with the remainder almost evenly split between premium finance and small business deals. Wells Fargo CMBS analysts note that although wider spreads in the CMBS sector relative to the ABS sector may continue to .......
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Seductive specifieds
An investor's view
SCI spoke to Brendan Doucette, government bond portfolio manager of GW&K Investment Management in Boston. The firm has assets under management of $40bn, of which $1bn is invested in the MBS market. It invests only in GSE-backed bonds.
Q: Where do you see value in the MBS market at the moment Brendan?
We like owning mortgages versus Treasuries, .......
The Structured Credit Interview 18 June 2020
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Investor interest
UK RMBS market update
The launch of Morgan Stanley’s buy-to-let transaction, Tudor Rose Mortgages 2020-1, yesterday marks the reopening of the UK RMBS market post-coronavirus. Investor interest shown in this deal is expected to encourage further market participation.
One trader says: “I expect a few more deals to come to the market in the not-so-distant future. Issuers and arrangers will have the .......
Market Reports 17 June 2020
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Older CLOs underperforming
Sector developments and company hires
Older CLOs underperforming
A significant proportion of all the US BSL CLOs S&P has on negative watch closed in 2015 or before. The rating agency reports that such deals also experienced a steeper average decline in OC cushion, falling by 3.23%, and their average junior OC cushion is now approaching 0%.Of the 410 currently reinvesting deals within the .......
Market Moves 16 June 2020
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Take-up rates
Significant variations across European moratoria
Payment holidays have so far assisted in deterring defaults during the coronavirus crisis. However, borrowers who have suffered severe financial difficulties are nevertheless expected to eventually experience defaults.
Antonio Tena, vp-senior analyst at Moody’s, says: "The more stringent a jurisdiction's eligibility criteria, the more moratorium levels will correlate with defaults, given that the profiles of eligible borrowers are .......
News 15 June 2020
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Risky retention
Haircuts become more severe in Covid 19 world
Issuers of mortgage-backed bonds are at the moment finding it increasingly difficult to fund the risk retention pieces, say market sources.
Lack of liquidity in the MBS repo market is in part to blame, but also rates have soared to uneconomic levels for issuers wishing to lend notes in return for cash as the likely economic effects of Covid 19 devalue mortgage-backed .......
News Analysis 12 June 2020
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Addressing inconsistencies
Performance metrics switched
Metrics that assess the level of portfolio interest and principal cashflows have become more reliable performance indicators than traditional default and delinquency metrics in the wake of coronavirus-driven moratoria. Moody’s notes that the need for more reliable metrics for the ABS and RMBS it rates is driven by inconsistent reporting on the proportion of portfolios under payment holidays.
News 12 June 2020
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Euro ABS 'game changer' recommended
Sector developments and company hires
Euro ABS ‘game changer’ recommended
Market Moves 11 June 2020
The European High-Level Forum (HLF) on the capital markets union (CMU) has published its final report, which proposes 17 inter-connected “game changers” – measures that the EU needs to implement to remove the biggest barriers in its capital markets. The European Commission stresses that completing the CMU has become particularly urgent in order to speed .......
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LCR eligibility eyed
Final credit mapping framework awaited
Prime Collateralised Securities last week withdrew several liquidity coverage ratio assessments on double-A rated STS securitisation bonds. The move was in connection with an EBA Q&A that includes a temporary mapping, in which the credit quality step (CQS) 1 corresponds with triple-A ratings only.
Ruben van Leeuwen, head of credit strategy and regulation at Rabobank, says: “The interpretation .......
News 10 June 2020
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Resolve and resilience
Content sponsored by Ocorian
James Maitland, regional head of Americas, Bermuda & Caribbean, and global head of capital market services at Ocorian, spoke to SCI about how resilience is benefiting the industry and his firm
With the traditional office environment disappearing almost overnight and widespread personal restrictions, we have seen a smooth transition and incredible resilience both within our own firm and across the .......
Talking Point 10 June 2020
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Spread compression
European ABS market update
The rally in broader risk assets and the lack of new supply has boosted demand for paper in the European ABS secondary market. An increasingly acute supply/demand imbalance is expected to be supportive of valuations over the near term, however.
“We have been on a bit of tear over the last week and a half,” says one European ABS trader. .......
News 9 June 2020
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CLO business integrated
Sector developments and company hires
CLO business integrated
RBC’s US-based CLO management business is being integrated into BlueBay’s CLO management platform. Sid Chhabra, who joined BlueBay – which is owned by RBC - in 2018 to build the firm’s structured credit and CLO capabilities, will lead this team. The US-based team includes four experienced individuals and the US$500m CLOs they manage.In other news…
Market Moves 8 June 2020
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May payments slump
Forbearances are down for the first time since CARES, but payments by borrowers in forbearance slump
Last week saw the first net fall in US mortgage forbearances since the beginning of the Covid 19 crisis, according to Black Knight data released this morning, but this encouraging news hides other more disquieting information, say market experts.
While welcoming the decline in forbearances, Black Knight ceo Anthony Jabbour notes that “far fewer homeowners in forbearance remitted .......
News 5 June 2020
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Capital trouble
GSEs stare down the barrel of reduced capital relief for CRT deals
The re-proposed capital rules for the GSEs before they exit conservatorship, released by the Federal Housing Finance Authority (FHFA) on May 20, add further doubts to the future of the credit risk transfer market, according to market opinion.
Compared to the rules released in 2018, the new iteration cuts in half the credit relief afforded by CRT deals. .......
News Analysis 5 June 2020
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Senators seek TALF expansion
Sector developments and company hires
Senators seek TALF expansion
Market Moves 5 June 2020
US Senators Jerry Moran, Martha McSally and Thom Tillis sent a letter to Fed chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin requesting that TALF be expanded to accept ABS backed by assets from all essential lending sectors as eligible collateral. The letter specifically urges personal instalment loans and non-agency RMBS be included as eligible collateral .......
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Conduit CMBS on watch
Sector developments and company hires
Conduit CMBS on watch
Market Moves 4 June 2020
S&P has placed its ratings of 96 classes from 30 US conduit CMBS on credit watch (CW) with negative implications, reflecting the bonds' exposure to the adverse impact of Covid-19 on the lodging and retail sectors, and the related uncertainty about the duration of the demand disruption. The agency says it will resolve or update the .......
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Vulnerability highlighted
Irish re-performing RMBS 'more sensitive'
Measures taken to contain the coronavirus pandemic have resulted in economic contraction, which is expected to weaken Irish RMBS further (SCI 30 April). Due to the characteristics of the underlying collateral, S&P suggests that Irish re-performing RMBS are particularly vulnerable to performance deterioration.
Payment holidays of up to six months are being offered by all lenders and .......
News 4 June 2020
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More Euro CLOs on review
Sector developments and company hires
More Euro CLOs on review
Market Moves 3 June 2020
Moody’s has put a further 234 tranches from 77 European BSL CLOs on review for possible downgrade. The securities involved are rated Baa2 to B1 and below. The action brings the total number of European CLOs Moody’s has under negative review to 351, representing around 16% by count, or 6.5% by balance, of its rated .......
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New paradigm?
Trustee discretion required in virtual environment
The coronavirus crisis ushered in a new paradigm for securitisation noteholder communication and documentation processes, as remote working was enforced. This change has demanded flexibility from trustees and agents amid the uncertainty.
Morgan Krone, partner and head of the global corporate trust and agency practice at Allen & Overy, says: “I think trustees and agents have done extremely .......
News Analysis 2 June 2020
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Risk mitigation
Southern European RMBS 'insulated'
An increase in European RMBS delinquency rates is expected in the coming months, reflecting coronavirus-induced stress on borrowers. However, Southern European RMBS transactions have structural features and portfolio characteristics that are expected to mitigate the negative impact of the crisis.
Andrea Corda, avp at Moody’s, says: “Italian, Spanish and Portuguese RMBS we rate would largely weather a short, .......
News 1 June 2020