CMBS

  • Loan mods hit seven-year low

    The overall share of specially serviced US conduit CMBS loans decreased by 3bp to 6.77% in Q4 from 6.80% in Q3, according to Moody's latest CMBS and CRE CDO surveillance review. The share of specially serviced loans remains 595bp below the April 2011 peak of 12.72%, while only five loans totalling US$342.7m were modified last quarter, the fewest since 1Q09.

    News Round-up 25 February 2016


  • Change in use eyed

    Kroll Bond Rating Agency says it is monitoring the third largest loan in the US$830.7m JPMBB 2015-C27 CMBS, due to a potential change in use of the building. The loan - The Branson at Fifth - currently represents 8.8% of the aggregate transaction balance.

    Substantive renovations are reportedly slated for the property that are suggestive of a change in use .......

    News Round-up 25 February 2016

  • Euro ABS/MBS softens

    Weaker wider markets have softened the tone across the European ABS/MBS secondary market.

    Broader market volatility continues to keep liquidity thin and investors for the most part are only appearing as sellers. Consequently, secondary tone weakened again yesterday. Nevertheless, light flows and selective buying from the Street, albeit in very low volume, was enough to keep most secondary spreads unchanged.

    SCIWire 25 February 2016


  • Drifting out

    High-beta spread dislocation continues

    As markets sell off and become increasingly volatile, European high-beta securitised paper has widened considerably. This has been driven by several factors - not least regulation - and has concerning implications for liquidity and the future health of the market.

    Bank of America Merrill Lynch European ABS analysts note that the €888m Driver Espana Three auto ABS, which priced earlier .......

    News Analysis 24 February 2016

  • Maturity wave pay-offs projected

    Morningstar Credit Ratings projects that paying off US CMBS loans on time will become progressively more difficult through 2017, as many of the maturing loans were aggressively underwritten near the peak of the market and remain overleveraged. Based on LTV ratios, debt yields and loan proceeds benchmarks, the agency predicts a decline in the 2016 maturity pay-off rate to 65%-70%, .......

    News Round-up 24 February 2016

  • Euro secondary mixed

    The European securitisation secondary market continues to experience mixed fortunes.

    "Liquidity remains very thin overall," says one trader. "However, there is still demand in the prime area, particularly in Dutch paper and yesterday we also saw some for Italian bonds."

    At the same time, the trader adds: "Sterling sellers have started coming in. There wasn't a big incidence in UK .......

    SCIWire 24 February 2016

  • Delinquencies for oil-boom loans

    Morgan Stanley CMBS strategists have identified eight US CMBS 2.0 loans totalling US$55m - all of which are secured by properties located in oil-boom regions - that turned delinquent this month. A further oil-exposed loan realised an appraisal reduction, according to February remittance reports, suggesting a potential loss.

    The largest of the newly delinquent loans is the US$17.9m Eagle Ford .......

    News Round-up 23 February 2016

  • Euro secondary starts slowly

    It was a slow start to the week for the European securitisation secondary market, but today looks likely to see something of a pick-up.

    "Yesterday was for the most part pretty slow," says one trader. "Primarily there was a just a lot of chatter around Brexit and its broader implications including the potential for people to step away from sterling .......

    SCIWire 23 February 2016

  • Euro secondary solid

    The European securitisation secondary market remained solid on Friday despite broader market weakness.

    Volumes remained generally low as the week closed out, but tone remained firm and most spreads ended the session unchanged. Off-BWIC activity once again revolved around prime assets and eligible peripherals. Meanwhile, BWICs generated a flurry of activity in the afternoon and the bulk of line items .......

    SCIWire 22 February 2016

  • CMBS oil exposure analysed

    Kroll Bond Rating Agency has designated US$684m of CMBS 2.0 oil exposed loans in both KBRA-rated (21) and non-rated transactions (seven) as KBRA loans of concern (K-LOCs). Among the agency's rated transactions, North Dakota and Texas include collateral with oil-exposed K-LOCs. Oklahoma and Colorado have also been identified with oil-exposed K-LOCs in non-KBRA rated transactions.

    K-LOCs are loans that are .......

    News Round-up 19 February 2016

  • Euro secondary fades

    Levels and activity are fading in the European securitisation secondary market as the broader market rally runs out of steam.

    Activity remained patchy across the board yesterday, with prime assets once again leading the way, albeit in lower volumes than in previous sessions. Meanwhile, the appetite for Portuguese paper of recent days has faded somewhat and kept spreads slightly off .......

    SCIWire 19 February 2016

  • SFR operating expenses up

    Net operating expenses for most single-family rental (SFR) securitisations issued in 2013 and 2014 are slightly above underwritten assumptions, which Moody's describes as slightly credit negative for the affected transactions. Exceptions to this trend are the Invitation Homes (IH) and Silver Bay deals.

    The first six months of operating cashflows for 2013 and 2014 SFR transactions suggest that non-contractual costs .......

    News Round-up 18 February 2016

  • Euro ABS/MBS split

    There continues to be a strong split in where activity is taking place in the European ABS/MBS secondary market.

    "Tone over the past few days has been much more positive in line with the macro trend," says one trader. "However, there is still a marked divergence over where activity is centred."

    The trader continues: "Most focus continues to surround prime .......

    SCIWire 18 February 2016

  • Euro secondary improves

    Tone in many European securitisation secondary market sectors continues to improve in line with broader markets.

    "Yesterday, tone was bit better overall in our space as credit in general continued to improve," says one trader. "But the biggest story was Portugal."

    The trader continues: "The tender announcement from BCP for MAGEL 2  and 3 combined with rising sovereign bonds and .......

    SCIWire 17 February 2016

  • CMBS spread widening to continue?

    An analysis of previous US CMBS corrections undertaken by Morgan Stanley CMBS strategists suggests that the current sell-off in the market is not as pronounced, despite it being the longest on record. The study indicates that while there may be periodic tactical rallies, CMBS spreads can continue widening for four primary reasons until the S&P 500 index troughs.

    The start .......

    News 16 February 2016

  • Euro secondary stalemate

    With the US absent and continuing improvements in broader markets, it was stalemate in the European securitisation secondary market yesterday.

    "Market tone is generally OK," says one trader. "But with the US holiday not a lot went on yesterday."

    However, he adds: "We did see a couple of BWICs come out in the afternoon and all but one 1.0 CMBS .......

    SCIWire 16 February 2016

  • Delinquencies post largest decline

    US CMBS delinquencies posted the largest month-over-month decline in January since Fitch began tracking the segment 15 years ago, reflecting the resolution of the Stuyvesant Town/Peter Cooper Village asset (SCI passim). Loan delinquencies fell by 109bp last month to 2.93% from 4.02% at end-2015, while the dollar balance of late-pays fell by US$4.2bn to US$11.1bn. The last time delinquencies dropped .......

    News Round-up 15 February 2016

  • Euro secondary stronger

    After a relatively benign close to last week, today is opening with a stronger tone across the bulk of the European securitisation secondary market.

    Friday once again saw extremely thin liquidity across the board, but low beta paper continued to catch a bid and senior peripherals traded well on- and off-BWIC, especially Italian names, but even select Portuguese bonds tightened .......

    SCIWire 15 February 2016

  • Euro defaults remain stable

    The 12-month rolling loan maturity default rate for the European CMBS in S&P's rated universe remained stable at 10%, at end-January. Overall, the senior loan delinquency rate increased slightly to 47.8% from 47.7% month-over-month.

    The delinquency rate for continental European senior loans decreased slightly to 59.8% from 60.2%. The rate for UK loans increased to 22% from 20%.

    .......

    News Round-up 12 February 2016

  • Euro secondary slides

    Activity and pricing levels are sliding across the European securitisation secondary market.

    Prime autos and RMBS finally succumbed to broader market downward pressure and edged wider on very light volumes yesterday. 2.0 CMBS is still offering some resistance, but elsewhere tone remains weak and liquidity is thin across the board.

    Street buyers are occasionally being seen in select names in .......

    SCIWire 12 February 2016

  • Euro ABS/MBS switchback

    Yesterday was a better day in the European ABS/MBS secondary market, but today looks set to see a switch back to recent patterns.

    "There was a slight rebound in broader markets yesterday, which enticed people back into the market," says one trader. "Notably, we saw some selling of senior assets and they all went through in line with expectations."

    However, .......

    SCIWire 11 February 2016


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