ABS
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Risk transfer round-up - 22 May
CRT sector developments and deal news
Santander is rumoured to be readying its fourth SME significant risk transfer deal from the Magdalena programme for the second half of the year. Magdalena Three was finalised in June last year. The €342m ticket referenced Spanish SME loans (see SCI’s capital relief trades database).
....... News 22 May 2020
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CLO manager performance assessed
Sector developments and company hires
CLO manager performance assessed
JPMorgan has issued its latest CLO manager quarterly reports for both the US and Europe.72% of US CLOs are now failing their S&P triple-C test and 38% are failing their Moody’s Caa1 test, but there are still three managers passing both tests in all of their transactions: Blackrock, DFG/Vibrant, and Silvermine. Meanwhile, JPMorgan CLO .......
Market Moves 21 May 2020
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Moratoria mulled
Payment holidays set to test CRT provisions
Portfolios referencing loans subject to payment holidays may create a new sub-asset class within the capital relief trades market. Nevertheless, it remains to be seen whether provisions in outstanding synthetic securitisations will prevent lenders from being paid due to the implementation of moratoria.
Roberto Savina, head of structured risk solutions at AmTrust International, confirms that he has been .......
News Analysis 21 May 2020
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SRTs eyed
Pension funds target risk transfer
Pension funds are targeting capital relief trade opportunities as the coronavirus crisis renders pricing more attractive and other credit opportunities become scarcer. However, access remains a challenge, with some new pension fund investors using joint ventures with established investors as an alternative way for overcoming entry barriers.
According to IACPM data, pension funds represent 30.6% of the investors in .......
News Analysis 21 May 2020
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TALF subscription date announced
Sector developments and company hires
TALF subscription date announced
Market Moves 20 May 2020
The New York Fed has scheduled the first TALF ABS loan subscription date for 17 June, with the first loan closing date to be 25 June. On fixed days each month, borrowers will be able to request one or more three-year TALF loans. The Fed has published a Master Loan and Security Agreement, which provides further details on the terms .......
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Sponsor support
Credit card ABS fallout to be contained
Rising unemployment and constrained household expenditure, due to coronavirus stress, is likely to negatively impact UK credit card ABS payment rates. However, sponsor support is expected to protect credit card deals from the fallout.
Anthony Parry, svp at Moody’s, says: “The main protection [in credit card ABS structures] is sponsor support, as sponsors actively support trusts through the .......
News Analysis 20 May 2020
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Covid-19 relief initiative launched
Sector developments and company hires
Covid-19 relief initiative launched
Market Moves 19 May 2020
Community Capital Management has launched an initiative to invest US$100m of assets in Covid-19 relief efforts. The aim is to offer organisations that wish to contribute to the long-term US recovery post-pandemic an opportunity to complement their philanthropic and volunteer resources through a seasoned fixed income strategy designed to provide high current income consistent with the .......
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SME CLO, SRT PD adjustments mooted
Sector developments and company hires
SME CLO, SRT PD adjustments mooted
Market Moves 18 May 2020
DBRS Morningstar is considering additional adjustments to reflect expectations of a higher probability of default (PD) for borrowers underlying SME CLO and significant risk transfer deals operating in economic sectors considered to have a ‘mid-high’ or ‘high’ risk of experiencing higher levels of default, due to the coronavirus fallout. For borrowers in the ‘mid-high’ .......
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Conflict of interest charge settled
Sector developments and company hires
Conflict of interest charge settled
Market Moves 15 May 2020
The US SEC has charged Morningstar Credit Ratings for violating a conflict of interest rule designed to separate credit ratings and analysis from sales and marketing efforts. Morningstar has agreed to pay US$3.5m to settle charges including that from mid-2015 through September 2016, credit rating analysts in Morningstar’s ABS group engaged in sales and marketing .......
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Tortuous TALF 2.0
Markets question TALF usage
The Federal Reserve this Tuesday (May 12) published more details about the terms of its $100bn new emergency lending facility generally referred to as TALF 2, and while these details were welcomed there are a still a lot of questions in the market about how useful this programme will be.
The first of those questions revolves around relative value. The cost of .......
News Analysis 15 May 2020
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Waivers required
WBS covenant breaches eyed
The probability of covenant breaches within UK whole business securitisations has increased, due to coronavirus-related restrictions on businesses. However, covenant breaches do not necessarily result in negative rating actions.
There are multiple types of covenants and they provide protection for bondholders in different ways. George Abbatt, director, global infrastructure and project finance at Fitch, says: “One example is debt service .......
News 15 May 2020
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Unknown unknowns
Covid-19 modelling challenges persist
Banks are running simulations in an effort to address the credit risk modelling challenges of the coronavirus crisis (SCI 8 April). However, this is yet to clarify whether lenders can use both through-the-cycle (TTC) and point-in-time (PIT) modelling or merely point in time.
According to Martin Zorn, president and coo at Kamakura: “Stochastic modelling and stress testing is .......
News Analysis 15 May 2020
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SRTs unlocked
BMO launches capital relief trade
Bank of Montreal has finalised a US$132m five-year financial guarantee dubbed Manitoulin Muskoka Series 2020-1. The trade is the first transaction to close in the SRT space following the coronavirus outbreak.
The portfolio is believed to reference mid-market corporate loans, which wouldn’t be the first time BMO ventured into the asset class, after expanding its exposure to it .......
News 15 May 2020
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Auto ABS boost
European ABS market update
Yesterday’s print of BMW Bank’s latest auto loan ABS marks a significant step in the reopening of the primary European securitisation market. The STS transaction was placed with 33 accounts, with the final spread tightening to one-month Euribor plus 40bp at the senior level.
One European ABS trader suggests that there is a lot of confidence that Bavarian Sky German .......
Market Reports 15 May 2020
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Questionable idea?
Central bad bank proposal raises concerns
The ECB is exploring the idea of a bad bank to relieve European bank balance sheets following expected asset-quality deterioration, due to the coronavirus fallout. Nevertheless, such a proposal would have to explain how purchase prices can be aligned with net book values, with some suggesting the move may be premature at this point.
Indeed, any Europe-wide bad bank proposal .......
News Analysis 14 May 2020
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Liquidity support
Amendments mitigate forbearance impact
A number of UK securitisation issuers are enhancing their deals to mitigate the negative impact on revenue of coronavirus-induced payment holidays. Among the first-movers to support public transactions were Santander and Volkswagen Financial Services UK.
Notably, Santander amended the transaction documents for its master trust issuances - Holmes Master Issuer series 2016-1, 2017-1, 2018-1 and 2018-2 and Fosse .......
News Analysis 14 May 2020
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Portfolio resilience
Technology-driven investment gaining traction
Pagaya has expanded to the US West Coast, beefing up its origination group. At the same time, the fintech firm is seeking opportunities in new asset classes and new partnerships.
As part of its expansion, Pagaya has appointed Jason Hass as svp of originations and Mike Cannatella as vp of originations, in Phoenix and Los Angeles respectively. Hass will oversee .......
News 14 May 2020
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TALF CLO rules clarified
Sector developments and company hires
TALF CLO rules clarified
Market Moves 13 May 2020
The US Federal Reserve has clarified its CLO eligibility rules for TALF. It defines its stipulation that all or substantially all of the leveraged loans underlying CLOs must have been “newly issued” as those originated or refinanced on or after 1 January 2019. The Fed also announced additional CLO portfolio requirements: maximum second lien loan concentration .......
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Positive outlook
Survey indicates distressed debt pick-up
A new survey of private markets suggests that a pick-up in distressed debt activity is likely over the medium term due to the Coronavirus crisis. However, live deals are being renegotiated or postponed, with servicers adopting more consensual resolution strategies.
Private market participants are already finetuning their outlook and strategies for the next 18 to 24 months, even .......
News 13 May 2020
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Risk transfer round-up - 13 May
CRT sector developments and deal news
Bank of Montreal is rumoured to be prepping a corporate loan capital relief trade for 3Q20. The lender’s last risk transfer trade was completed in January and was called Manitoulin Algonquin 2020-1 (see SCI’s capital relief trades database).
....... News 13 May 2020
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SFSF investments disclosed
Sector developments and company hires
SFSF investments disclosed
Market Moves 12 May 2020
The AOFM has disclosed the recent investments it has made under the Structured Finance Support Fund. In the primary market, the fund was the sole third-party investor in the A2 tranches of FirstMac 2020-1 (it also invested in the A1 through D tranches) and Liberty Series 2020-1 on 27 March and 8 May respectively. It has also .......